🎯 Contrarian Overlay Signal Tracker

Pure signal hit-rate evaluation · No portfolio · No allocation

Last updated: 2026-06-02 04:52 UTC

Total Signals

Open Signals

Closed Signals

T+60 Hit Rate

0.0%

Opposite-Signal Hit Rate

0.0%

Cumulative P&L (T+60)

$1,000.00

Overall Hit Rates by Horizon

Horizon	Signals	Hits	Misses	Hit Rate	Avg Return	Cum. P&L ($1k/signal)

Hit Rate: BUY vs SELL

Horizon	BUY Signals	BUY Hit Rate	SELL Signals	SELL Hit Rate

Recent Signals

ID	Ticker	Type	Theme	Date	Entry	Status	T+5	T+20	T+60	Opp.
No signals recorded yet

📊 Theme Trend Monitoring

Daily theme scoring from lifecycle pipeline — scores, stages, and signal generation status

Communication Services 🟡

Score: 51.8 Stage: MID Divergence: 50.0 (Balanced) 📈 14d Flow: +20.33% ⏳ Pending

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2026-06-02

7-day trend: — Tickers: TWLO, EL, CVNA

Consumer Cyclical 🟡

Score: 45.0 Stage: MID Divergence: 50.0 (Balanced) 📈 14d Flow: +9.58% ⏳ Pending

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2026-06-02

7-day trend: — Tickers: TWLO, EL, SPOT

Industrials 🟡

Score: 49.8 Stage: MID Divergence: 50.0 (Balanced) 📈 14d Flow: +34.02% ⏳ Pending

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2026-06-02

7-day trend:

Tickers: STRL, AS, TYL

Space 🟡

Score: 58.7 Stage: MID Divergence: 50.0 (Balanced) 📈 14d Flow: +50.47% ✅ Confirmed

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2026-06-02

7-day trend:

Tickers: LUNR, SATL, ASTS

Technology 🟡

Score: 47.0 Stage: MID Divergence: 50.0 (Balanced) 📈 14d Flow: +18.42% ✅ Confirmed

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2026-06-02

7-day trend:

Tickers: AIR, NEE

Strategy Methodology

Phase 1 (NLP Discovery): Reuses the Thematic Lifecycle Strategy's ingestion engine — Bloomberg media, Google Trends, NewsAPI, and RSS feeds.
Phase 4 (Lifecycle Scoring): Valuation Z-Score (40%), Divergence Index (30%), Momentum Exhaustion (30%) with 10-day MA smoothing + 3-day confirmation.
SELL Signal: Bullish theme in Late Stage (>80) with weak divergence (hype >> reality) and expensive valuation.
BUY Signal: Bearish theme in Early Stage (<40) with strong divergence (hype << reality) and cheap valuation.
Horizons: Returns measured at T+5, T+10, T+20, T+30, T+60 trading days after signal.
Early Exit: Signal closes only when an opposite signal triggers on the same ticker (e.g., a BUY signal closes when a SELL is later generated).
Hit Definition: BUY → return > 0; SELL → return < 0. No ±5% early-exit rule.
P&L Proxy: Cumulative P&L assumes $1,000 notional per signal, compounded at each horizon.